August 15, 2021

Typically, a good preacher will understand what is causing concern and angst in their community and more broadly, the world. Then she/he will connect ...

Home Prices and Rent: a rapid price recovery

August 1, 2021

The US releases its monthly unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data on Friday. The charts below show the rapid recovery in jobs since the ...

What McDonald’s can tell us about the labor shortage

July 23, 2021

For everyone trying to catch a summer break without watching Washington, I wish you best of luck because they are working hard to hammer ...

The Big Infrastructure Bills: even larger than you think

July 15, 2021

Yesterday, the European Union released a sweeping 30-year plan to achieve net zero and reshape the economy. This has broad implications for every EU ...

EU Carbon Plan and US Infrastructure: tied at the border?

July 8, 2021

First, a bit of perspective on ESG. This investable theme is challenging even if one focuses solely on the E for environment or energy. ...

Fastest Growing Investable Theme

June 17, 2021

Let’s do a quick run through two topics impacting the economy and markets. Federal Reserve monetary policy. On Wednesday, the Fed left interest rates ...

The Manchin Fed

June 4, 2021

The inflation story keeps getting legs as more and more companies are citing inflation concerns in their investor calls and interviews. As a matter ...

Inflation Politics

May 20, 2021

Let’s get to what’s driving the markets, causing stocks to sink, crypto to crater and interest rates to rise: uncertainty over inflation. But it’s ...

The Biggest Driver of Uncertainty

May 13, 2021

The Fed has made it clear they will tolerate 3%+ inflation for a period of time to make up for the low rates of ...

Breaking Trust with the Fed on Inflation

May 7, 2021

Today, the US BLS releases its monthly employment data. The expectations were for 950k NFP with some predicting as high as 1.4m new jobs ...

Did We Just Hit Peak Growth?

April 29, 2021

Both the Fed and Biden had big meetings this week. Biden gave a “this-is-not-a-state-of-the-union” state of the union address on part 2 of his ...

Biden and Fed: here’s what we learned for the economy

April 22, 2021

Star Trek shows us the future! As an economic futurist, I get to go down a lot of research rabbit holes. Sometimes I discover ...

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